Given their respective form, this has the makings of being a closely-fought contest. However, while Sutton will relish the chance to compete against a higher-profile club, we expect the home side to edge this game by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Sutton United
50.77% ( 0)	24.96% ( -0)	24.27% ( -0)

Both teams to score 51.2% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.83% (

0.01)

51.17% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.98% (

0.01)

73.01% (

-0.01)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.84% (

0.01)

20.16% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.55% (

0.01)

52.44% (

-0.01)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.13% (

0.01)

35.86% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.35% (

0.01)

72.64% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 50.76%

Sutton United 24.27%

Draw 24.96%

MK Dons	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 50.76%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.09% 0-2 @ 3.8% 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.27%