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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
SU

MK Dons
1 - 0
Sutton

Grant (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: MK Dons 1-0 Sutton United

Given their respective form, this has the makings of being a closely-fought contest. However, while Sutton will relish the chance to compete against a higher-profile club, we expect the home side to edge this game by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawSutton United
50.77% (0.0049999999999955 0) 24.96% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 24.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 51.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (0.012999999999998 0.01)51.17% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.010999999999999 0.01)73.01% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84% (0.007000000000005 0.01)20.16% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.55% (0.010999999999996 0.01)52.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)72.64% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 50.76%
    Sutton United 24.27%
    Draw 24.96%
MK DonsDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 50.76%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.09%
0-2 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Wycombe
Sunday, May 8 at 6.30pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 MK Dons
Thursday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 0-5 MK Dons
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Sutton
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Newport
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Sutton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-4 Bradford
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 3-0 Crawley
Tuesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Sutton
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in League Two


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