Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	MK Dons
40.7%	26.98%	32.32%

Both teams to score 50.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.2%

54.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.9%

76.1%

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.54%

26.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.37%

61.63%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.47%

31.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.07%

67.93%

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 40.7%

MK Dons 32.32%

Draw 26.98%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.38% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.7%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.34% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 9.63% 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 5.56% 1-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.32%