Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
46.41% (![]() | 28.49% (![]() | 25.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.94% (![]() | 63.06% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.49% (![]() | 82.51% (![]() |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.68% (![]() | 27.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.23% (![]() | 62.77% (![]() |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.23% (![]() | 41.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.77% (![]() | 78.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 14.8% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.61% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.39% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 1.72% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 12.92% (![]() 0-0 @ 11.41% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.49% | 0-1 @ 9.96% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.35% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 1.17% Total : 25.1% |
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