Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lincoln City in this match.
-0.01) 
