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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
LC

Shrewsbury
2 - 0
Lincoln

Leahy (45' pen.), Bayliss (60')
Dunkley (10'), Bayliss (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vernam (31'), Walsh (43'), O'Connor (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Lincoln City

While Shrewsbury are lacking form in League One, they should take confidence from last week's victory over Peterborough, and with home advantage we back them to at least take a point against an improving Lincoln side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawLincoln City
36.46% (0.566 0.57) 26.78% (0.00099999999999767 0) 36.75% (-0.567 -0.57)
Both teams to score 51.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25% (0.0010000000000012 0)75%
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76% (0.343 0.34)28.23% (-0.343 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (0.429 0.43)63.94% (-0.429 -0.43)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.333 -0.33)28.06% (0.333 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.28% (-0.424 -0.42)63.72% (0.42599999999999 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 36.46%
    Lincoln City 36.75%
    Draw 26.78%
Shrewsbury TownDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.05% (0.078 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.34% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.46%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 7.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 10.06% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.4% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 36.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-1 Peterborough
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Barnsley
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 York City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Morecambe (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol City 1-3 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Chippenham 1-0 Lincoln
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Accrington
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One


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