Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
