MK Dons
3 - 2
Accrington

Jerome (6', 55'), O'Riley (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Charles (57'), Surman (62' og.)
Smyth (45'), Burgess (47'), Barclay (49'), Rodgers (67'), Morgan (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the League One clash between MK Dons and Accrington Stanley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Accrington Stanley
42.29%	25.82%	31.89%

Both teams to score 53.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.79%

50.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.83%

72.17%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.43%

23.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.36%

57.64%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.49%

29.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.47%

65.53%

Score Analysis

MK Dons 42.28%

Accrington Stanley 31.89%

Draw 25.81%

MK Dons	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.26% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.28%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 8.49% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.89%