Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Northampton Town |
47.71% ( 0.85) | 24.97% ( -0.2) | 27.32% ( -0.64) |
Both teams to score 53.96% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.12% ( 0.46) | 48.88% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.02% ( 0.41) | 70.98% ( -0.41) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.47% ( 0.55) | 20.53% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.97% ( 0.86) | 53.03% ( -0.86) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.89% ( -0.25) | 32.11% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.42% ( -0.28) | 68.58% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 47.7% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 27.32% |
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