Peterborough are starting to build momentum thanks to a three-game winning run, and we think that they will continue their encouraging spell of form by claiming a narrow victory in Tuesday's home fixture.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 72.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 11.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
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