Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wigan Athletic in this match.
