Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
