Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
