Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
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