Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sunderland in this match.
