Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 68.88%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 13.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for MK Dons in this match.
