Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.