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Sunday, April 28
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League One | Gameweek 5
Oct 10, 2020 at 3pm UK
Home Park
BA

Plymouth
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Jephcott (25'), Moore (47')
Watts (63'), Canavan (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hemmings (58'), Daniel (83')
Coverage of the League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Burton Albion.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBurton Albion
46.61%24.88%28.52%
Both teams to score 55.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.26%47.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.07%69.93%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47%20.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96%53.04%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39%30.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15%66.85%
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 46.61%
    Burton Albion 28.52%
    Draw 24.88%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 9.32%
2-0 @ 7.88%
3-1 @ 4.92%
3-0 @ 4.16%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.65%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 46.61%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 6.29%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.44%
1-2 @ 6.97%
0-2 @ 4.4%
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.52%


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