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League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
R

Portsmouth
2 - 1
Rochdale

Williams (5'), Curtis (37')
Williams (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Beesley (90+3')
Keohane (24')
Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Rochdale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawRochdale
59.42%22.61%17.97%
Both teams to score 49.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05%48.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97%71.03%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.89%16.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.48%45.52%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98%41.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43%77.57%
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 59.41%
    Rochdale 17.97%
    Draw 22.61%
PortsmouthDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 12.06%
2-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 5.97%
4-0 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-2 @ 1.22%
5-0 @ 1.12%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 59.41%
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 6.61%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 5.89%
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 2.62%
1-3 @ 1.42%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 17.97%

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