Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
