We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday
Given their respective recent form, this contest is too close to call. While both teams recognise the benefits which come with a win, defeat would leave them off the pace, leading us to predict a competitive draw on the South coast.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.