Whilst it is Pompey in the higher division, with the better pedigree and with home advantage, they will be resting some senior players and Harrogate are a determined side on a roll. Therefore, we are backing an upset via a narrow away victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
