Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.