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League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
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Reading
4 - 0
Cambridge

Smith (11'), Azeez (45+2'), Wing (62'), Ehibhaimha (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bennett (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 2-1 Reading
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 6-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Reading 2-1 Cambridge United

This should be a fiercely-contested affair given that both sides are level on points just above the relegation zone, but Reading boast slightly better form than their opponents. Cambridge will almost certainly perform much better than when they were beaten by six goals against in-form Lincoln in midweek, but we are backing the hosts to gain a crucial victory by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawCambridge United
61.97% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 20.93% (0.0030000000000001 0) 17.1% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.82% (0.0040000000000049 0)43.17% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)65.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)40.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37% (0.015999999999998 0.02)38.63% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (0.016000000000002 0.02)75.37% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Reading 61.95%
    Cambridge United 17.1%
    Draw 20.93%
ReadingDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 10.45%
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 61.95%
1-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.93%
0-1 @ 4.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 4.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 17.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Reading
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-2 Wycombe
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Reading
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 2-3 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Reading
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 6-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, February 24 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Bolton
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in League One


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