Rotherham have only dropped points against Wrexham during their last three home matches across all competitions, so we are expecting a competent performance from the Millers this weekend.
Stevenage's confidence would have taken a major hit following the midweek loss to Cambridge on home soil, meaning that we cannot envisage the Boro picking up anything tangible from their trip to South Yorkshire.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
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