SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Rotherham United |
44.12% ( 0.1) | 24.32% ( -0.02) | 31.56% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.8% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.28% ( 0.05) | 43.73% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.89% ( 0.05) | 66.11% ( -0.05) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( 0.06) | 19.97% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.86% ( 0.1) | 52.14% ( -0.09) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( -0.02) | 26.53% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% ( -0.03) | 61.73% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 44.12% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 31.56% |
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