SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Stevenage |
44.75% ( 0.11) | 25.78% ( 0) | 29.48% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49% ( -0.07) | 51% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.13% ( -0.06) | 72.87% ( 0.06) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( 0.02) | 22.73% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( 0.03) | 56.41% ( -0.03) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.41% ( -0.12) | 31.59% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32% ( -0.13) | 68% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.75% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.48% |
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