Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stockport County.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Wrexham |
45.2% ( -0.35) | 24.82% ( 0.14) | 29.97% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 56.26% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.31% ( -0.48) | 46.69% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.05% ( -0.45) | 68.95% ( 0.45) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.29% ( -0.35) | 20.71% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.68% ( -0.55) | 53.32% ( 0.56) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.96% ( -0.09) | 29.04% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.05% ( -0.12) | 64.95% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 45.2% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.97% |
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