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League One | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgeley Park
WA

Stockport
1 - 0
Wrexham

Barry (24')
Southam-Hales (3'), Horsfall (6'), Barry (20'), Olaofe (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cannon (45'), Lee (63'), Rathbone (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 0-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Wrexham (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Stockport County 2-1 Wrexham

Stockport have won each of their previous three home games against Wrexham, and while we do not expect them to replicate the 5-0 win from last season's home clash, we think that they will do enough to extend that run by claiming a narrow victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stockport County.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawWrexham
45.2% (-0.347 -0.35) 24.82% (0.137 0.14) 29.97% (0.214 0.21)
Both teams to score 56.26% (-0.32100000000001 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (-0.478 -0.48)46.69% (0.483 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05% (-0.449 -0.45)68.95% (0.452 0.45)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.346 -0.35)20.71% (0.35 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68% (-0.551 -0.55)53.32% (0.555 0.56)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)29.04% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.05% (-0.116 -0.12)64.95% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 45.2%
    Wrexham 29.97%
    Draw 24.82%
Stockport CountyDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 45.2%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.44% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stockport 0-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 5-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 0-5 Wycombe
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 2-1 Forest Green
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stockport 4-1 Reading
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Wrexham (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Mansfield
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Wrexham
Sunday, November 3 at 3.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Charlton 2-2 Wrexham
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 0-0 Huddersfield
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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