SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Wrexham |
26.99% ( 2.89) | 23.43% ( 0.17) | 49.58% ( -3.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.84% ( 2.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.68% ( 1.78) | 42.32% ( -1.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.28% ( 1.75) | 64.72% ( -1.75) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( 3.23) | 28.93% ( -3.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.19% ( 3.83) | 64.81% ( -3.83) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.79% ( -0.47) | 17.21% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.51% ( -0.82) | 47.49% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.55) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.44)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.36)3-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.27)Other @ 3.42% Total : 26.99% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.4)0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.41)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.86)0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.89)1-3 @ 5.61% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.6)2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.3)2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.97% Total : 49.59% |
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