Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
