Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 49.24%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Ipswich Town win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.