Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 58.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.32%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
