Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
