Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 49.82%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portsmouth in this match.
