Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
