Hartlepool
0 - 1
Crewe

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ainley (50')
Ramsay (81'), Dale (90+2')
Sass-Davies (13')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Hartlepool United and Crewe Alexandra.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
35.85%	26.63%	37.52%

Both teams to score 52.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.13%

52.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.52%

74.48%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.69%

28.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.97%

64.03%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.67%

27.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.22%

62.77%

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 35.85%

Crewe Alexandra 37.51%

Draw 26.63%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 7.99% 2-0 @ 6.16% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.85%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.74% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 6.51% 1-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.08% Total : 37.51%