Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 66.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
