SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | MK Dons |
56.65% ( 0.01) | 22.94% ( -0) | 20.41% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.56% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.08% ( -0.01) | 46.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.83% ( -0.01) | 69.17% ( 0.01) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.65% ( -0) | 16.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.05% ( -0) | 45.95% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.83% ( -0.02) | 37.17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.05% ( -0.02) | 73.95% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.96% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.95% 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.19% Total : 56.65% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.94% | 0-1 @ 6.01% 1-2 @ 5.39% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.66% Total : 20.41% |
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