SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Bradford City |
37.47% ( -0.09) | 26.46% ( -0.2) | 36.07% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 52.67% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.85% ( 0.86) | 52.15% ( -0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.14% ( 0.74) | 73.86% ( -0.73) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% ( 0.35) | 27.01% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.63% ( 0.46) | 62.37% ( -0.46) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.17% ( 0.6) | 27.83% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.57% ( 0.75) | 63.42% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.47% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.07% |
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