Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%).