We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Port Vale
Despite the differing positions in the table heading into Tuesday's meeting, there is very little between these two sides, and as a result we are predicting a draw in this one.
Rovers' FA Cup victory at the weekend will provide them with a much-needed boost, and with home advantage on their side on Tuesday as well, we can see them taking a point off their high-flying opponents.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
