Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
