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League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
HU

Port Vale
2 - 0
Hartlepool

Garrity (31'), Pett (90')
Worrall (61'), Gibbons (71'), Walker (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jones (59')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Hartlepool United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawHartlepool United
56.08%24.38%19.54%
Both teams to score 46.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.23%53.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76%75.24%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.94%19.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.34%50.66%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.96%42.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.53%78.47%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 56.07%
    Hartlepool United 19.54%
    Draw 24.38%
Port ValeDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 13.28%
2-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 6.08%
3-1 @ 5.27%
4-0 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 56.07%
1-1 @ 11.51%
0-0 @ 8.01%
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.95%
1-2 @ 4.99%
0-2 @ 3.01%
1-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 19.54%

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