Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.