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League Two | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
B

Carlisle
1 - 0
Barrow

Mellish (24')
Mellish (10'), Anderton (70'), Guy (90+1')
Hayden (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Quigley (75'), Brough (80'), Hardcastle (90+4'), Kay (90+7')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Barrow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBarrow
44.05%26.34%29.61%
Both teams to score 51.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78%53.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22%74.79%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97%24.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71%58.29%
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35%32.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.8%69.2%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 44.04%
    Barrow 29.61%
    Draw 26.34%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 11.18%
2-1 @ 8.93%
2-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 44.04%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.85%
2-2 @ 5%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.78%
1-2 @ 7.01%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 29.61%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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