Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
