Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
