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League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2020 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
BL

Carlisle
3 - 3
Bolton

Hayden (5'), Alessandra (7'), Patrick (36')
Riley (24'), Bennett (45+1'), Mellish (48'), Farman (64')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Thomason (44'), Delfouneso (86'), Kioso (88')
Jones (22'), Kioso (50'), Thomason (81')
Kioso (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Bolton Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 46.79%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 26.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
46.79%26.97%26.25%
Both teams to score 47.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.68%57.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.85%78.15%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49%24.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03%58.97%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48%37.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7%74.3%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 46.78%
    Bolton Wanderers 26.25%
    Draw 26.96%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 12.92%
2-0 @ 9.09%
2-1 @ 8.91%
3-0 @ 4.26%
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-1 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 46.78%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.01%
1-2 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 4.42%
1-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 26.25%

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