Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.