Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
