Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.