SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 39.23% | 27.27% | 33.51% |
| Both teams to score 49.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.33% | 55.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.18% | 76.82% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.32% | 27.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.77% | 63.24% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.82% | 31.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.49% | 67.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 7.12% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.93% Total : 39.22% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.5% |
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