Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.